Nigeria’s domestic refineries have completely displaced imported Aviation Turbine Kerosene, commonly known as aviation fuel or Jet A-1, with official industry data showing that local producers solely supplied the country’s aviation fuel market over the past 13 months.
An analysis of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority’s latest petroleum supply statistics showed that between June 2025 and June 2026, there was no recorded import of aviation fuel by Oil Marketing Companies, making domestic refineries the exclusive source of supply throughout the period.
The development marks a significant shift for Nigeria’s aviation fuel market, which had relied heavily on imported Jet A-1 for years due to inadequate domestic refining capacity.
The data showed that domestic refinery receipts fluctuated significantly during the review period, rising from 1.3 million litres per day in June 2025 to 1.5 million litres per day in July before climbing sharply to 3.5 million litres per day in August.
Supplies later moderated to 1.6 million litres per day in September and 2.7 million litres per day in October, while no receipt was recorded in November. Output then surged dramatically to 14 million litres per day in December, the highest level recorded during the period.
In 2026, domestic refinery receipts fell to 6.0 million litres per day in January before dropping further to 1.6 million litres per day in February. Supplies later recovered to 2.1 million litres per day in March, increased to 3.0 million litres per day in April, rose further to 4.3 million litres per day in May before declining to 2.5 million litres per day in June.
Month-on-month data also showed that average ATK receipts dropped from 3.6 million litres per day in May to 2.5 million litres per day in June, representing a decline of approximately 31 per cent.
An analysis of the NMDPRA data showed that ATK receipts increased from 1.3 million litres per day in June 2025 to 1.5 million litres per day in July, an increase of 0.2 million litres per day or 15.4 per cent.
Supplies then surged to 3.5 million litres per day in August, representing a sharp increase of 2.0 million litres per day or 133.3 per cent over July. However, receipts declined to 1.6 million litres per day in September, a drop of 1.9 million litres per day or 54.3 per cent, before recovering to 2.7 million litres per day in October, reflecting an increase of 1.1 million litres per day or 68.8 per cent.
No domestic refinery receipts were recorded in November 2025, indicating a 100 per cent decline from October’s level. Supply rebounded strongly in December 2025, when domestic refinery receipts climbed to 14.0 million litres per day, the highest level during the review period.
Although a percentage comparison could not be made because no receipts were recorded in November, the December figure represented an increase of 14.0 million litres per day.
Receipts then fell sharply to 6.0 million litres per day in January 2026, a decrease of 8.0 million litres per day or 57.1 per cent, before dropping further to 1.6 million litres per day in February, down by 4.4 million litres per day or 73.3 per cent.
Supplies recovered modestly to 2.1 million litres per day in March, an increase of 0.5 million litres per day or 31.3 per cent, rose to 3.0 million litres per day in April, up by 0.9 million litres per day or 42.9 per cent, and increased further to 4.3 million litres per day in May, representing a gain of 1.3 million litres per day or 43.3 per cent.
However, the upward trend reversed in June 2026, as domestic refinery receipts fell from 4.3 million litres per day in May to 2.5 million litres per day, a decline of 1.8 million litres per day or 41.9 per cent.
Throughout the 13 months, no aviation fuel imports by Oil Marketing Companies were recorded, indicating that 100 per cent of Nigeria’s reported ATK receipts came from domestic refineries.
Industry data further showed that aviation fuel consumption remained relatively stable despite fluctuations in refinery receipts.
Consumption stood at 3.5 million litres per day in January before declining to 2.9 million litres per day in February. It fell further to 2.1 million litres per day in March before rising to 2.5 million litres per day in April and increasing to 3.1 million litres per day in May. Consumption moderated again to 2.9 million litres per day in June, representing a six per cent decline compared to the previous month.
The latest NMDPRA daily consumption figures also showed that aviation fuel demand averaged about 2.9 million litres per day, close to the country’s 2026 benchmark demand of three million litres daily.
The regulator noted that petroleum product consumption figures are based on volumes trucked into the domestic market.
The report also showed that ATK supply rose from 2.6 million litres per day in April to 3.6 million litres per day in May, representing an increase of about 38.5 per cent during that reporting cycle.
The disappearance of aviation fuel imports underscores the growing contribution of domestic refining following the commencement and expansion of operations at new and rehabilitated refineries across the country.
For years, Nigeria depended almost entirely on imported aviation fuel, exposing airlines to exchange rate volatility, high logistics costs and periodic supply disruptions. The growing role of local refineries is expected to improve product availability, shorten supply chains and reduce the country’s dependence on imported petroleum products.
The development also aligns with the Federal Government’s broader objective of achieving energy security through increased domestic refining capacity while conserving foreign exchange previously spent on importing refined petroleum products.
Although monthly refinery receipts remained volatile, the absence of imported ATK throughout the review period suggests that local production has become sufficiently established to support Nigeria’s aviation fuel requirements, with consumption largely hovering around the country’s daily benchmark demand of three million litres.
The development comes against the backdrop of a sharp increase in aviation fuel prices that recently pushed up the cost of air travel in Nigeria.
In March 2026, Jet A-1 prices rose from about N900 per litre in January to N2,557 per litre by the end of March, representing an increase of 184 per cent. The surge, which was linked to disruptions in the global oil market following the Middle East crisis, placed significant pressure on airlines because aviation fuel accounts for about 40 per cent of their operating costs.
Although intense competition initially prevented carriers from immediately passing the higher cost to passengers, domestic airfares later rose to N200,000 and above for one-hour, one-way flights as Jet A-1 prices remained between N1,750 and N2,650 per litre.
The sharp increase in airfares intensified calls for a more reliable and affordable domestic supply of aviation fuel.
The latest supply figures, showing that domestic refineries accounted for all recorded ATK receipts between June 2025 and June 2026, could provide some relief to the aviation industry by reducing its exposure to imported fuel and foreign exchange volatility.
However, the significant month-to-month swings in local receipts, from a record 14 million litres per day in December 2025 to 2.5 million litres per day in June 2026, show that supply stability remains as important as domestic production.
